Notre Dame (9) vs Louisville
Monday, September 2 nd, 8:00 PM at Cardinal Stadium
Swinging Johnson: This week Doug Upstone and I shall detract from our regularly scheduled program of NFL discussion to dip our feet and then also render our college football selections.
It will almost certainly be the very first and only time this season we do this, as the last week of exhibition NFL football is somewhat lackluster in comparison to some regular-season game of NCAA football comprising one of the greatest teams in the country, and a mythical football program to boot up, Notre Dame.
Without further ado, let us begin the debate after my buddy Doug Upstone got the better of me last week with a wager about the Steelers while the Titans were endorsed by me. Weve been swapping wins back and forth so it appears like it is my turn to get the wreath, as the Irish are heartily endorsed by me and will follow each of the squares laying the lumber on a road favorite.
After reviewing the college football odds nearly six days ahead of the Monday night event, I see the line has spiked a half-point on the favorite, opening at Notre Dame -19 1/2 to where its currently offered in a solid -20 throughout the board at all of the best online sportsbooks.
Doug, I enjoy the Irish but youre leaning within this season-opening battle to the Cardinals. Other than the place do you believe Louisville could hang with the boys out of South Bend?
Doug Upstone: Yes IMO and at least a successful win, it said a great deal about the management of the Steelers and Titans. Lets proceed to real soccer, so will our recordings with this one and where the games rely.
Recall those Thursday night matches Louisville utilized to play against opponents that are big-name? They held their engineered and own many upsets. These were fun games to see and the Cardinals were an club.
But such as the former Papa Johns Stadium and its phony (in real life) proprietor, Louisville football last year was worse than a three-day-old pizza.
Scott Satterfield worked miracles and will be out to change the culture and win games. This will not happen right away as the ability level is down from theVille. However , this is a moment for Louisville, a team which has the opportunity to start taking actions in the right direction.
Ive read where the Cards trainers have popped up the slow mechanics of QB Jawon Pass (great name for a QB) and I like Hassan Hall since the direct running back. Than having a ticket for the Colts at OVER 9 for season wins the protection, well, that makes me more nervous. Why you have up your Irish please do tell.
Swinging Johnson: The Cardinals will not be doing much as the Notre Dame defense will keep them comfortable in their nest, flying into this match. Scott Satterfield is in the big leagues and hes got a team coming from a dismal record this past year in which they went winless in ACC action. This rebuild is akin to trying to turn it into an F-22 Raptor and carrying a hot air balloon.
While that may eventually happen, the problem is that Louisville is confronting a group which made it to the CFP last year and owned only one of the stingiest defenses in all of college football, devoting only 17.2 points over the regular season and going a perfect 12-0 until they fulfilled Clemson in the CFP semifinals. The offense was clicking on all cylinders as well, averaging over 33 points per match.
My issue is, how will be a quarterback like traveling whos slow to discharge, supposed to obtain any traction against a swarming defense? Particularly when he is working with a new trainer and an entirely new offensive scheme?
Please, Doug, save me I am lost! I see no way, shape or form in which Louisville will have the ability to keep pace with the Golden Domers and Im desperate to your sage wisdom and handicapping expertise!
Doug Upstone: Well, Swinger, Im glad to see in your last sentence you are coming around to the sunny side of sports gambling, or you are just being the exact wise a** you usually are. I will allow the SBR readers who are making school football picks decide on this. Im the first to realize Louisville sucked and was, but 1-11 ATS last year.
Like he gave up around the Atlanta Falcons, However, that team COMPLETELY gave up on coach Bobby Petrino. A new mindset is brought by A coach on building a statement, and with this being a game, his team will be sold by Satterfield. Louisville does need to trust the Irish will take them for granted and not have a lot of fight.
Let us also consider, Brian Kelly using the gold and blue is simply 10-13-1 ATS as a road favorite, also if dishing out 20 or more digits, a mere 7-9-1 ATS. This defense you said might improve as the year progresses but substituting five starters, even when you dont/can not amuse like Bama or even Clemson, it is going to take some time.
Swinging Johnson: Well Doug, I was being a bit facetious because although youve got an impressive handicapping restart, you miss the mark from time to time. And in this event, because Louisville might be greater but I would submit that they are coached by a Rhesus monkey and enhance upon their deplorable record rendered by an inept coach like Petrino you happen to be shooting blanks.
I know that placing nearly three touchdowns on the road would be square biz for certain along with Joe Q. Public never got rich by betting the heavy road chalk, but sometimes the people is correct, and in this case they certainly are. Until when we get down on our NFL Game of the Week next week, let us see what happens on Monday once the Irish come prepared to rumble in Louisville.
Free College Football Pick: Swinging Johnson — Notre Dame -20 (-110)
Free College Football Pick: Doug Upstone — Louisville +20 (-110)