Week 4 NCAAF Longshot Bets & Betting Picks

After a shocking 37-31 upset loss at the hands of Wyoming in Week 1, the year Missouri rebounded to start. This week Missouri brings a home matchup from a South Carolina team. After losses to North Carolina and Alabama, South Carolina enter Week 4 since 9.5-point underdogs.
Regardless of the harm to their starting quarterback Jake Bentley, a crime nicely as the ball has transferred. Through the air, they typical yards per game. New quarterback Hilinski even diced Alabama up last week to passing yards and 2 scores. The Gamecocks also have played well on the floor, averaging 131.5 rushing yards per game. Especially, Missouri struggles to defend the run, allowing 163.5 yards per game.
On the opposite side, South Carolina brings defensive worries of their own, permitting 370 passing yards per game (seventh-worst from the nation ). But, 444 yards came against Alabama. Below 245 yards passing, the Gamecocks held opponents in their two previous matches. The quarterback of Missouri, kelly Bryant, has also started the year , notching 423 passing yards against Wyoming, but neglecting to eclipse 150.
Finally, South Carolina provides too much significance as 9.5-point underdogs this weekend.
Greatest Pick: South Carolina +9.5 (-110) together with BetOnline
Saturday September 21st, 10:30 PM at Qualcomm Stadium (San Diego, California)
Best Pick: San Diego State ML (+145) together with 5Dimes
In one of the more interesting matchups on the Week 4 slate, the 2-0 Utah State Aggies journey to deal with the 3-0 San Diego State Aztecs. Playing polar trends of crime, Utah State runs a pass friendly scheme, although San Diego State prefers to help keep the ball onto the floor. As it stands, San Diego State enters Week 4 because 3.5-point home underdogs.
Playing some of their best defense in college football, San Diego State has just permitted 99.5 pass yards per game, which ranks fourth in the country. In the same way, the Aztecs only permitted 31 yards a game, which also ranks fourth. Their front remain the only unit in the nation with 15 begins as a unit Even though Utah State stays the offense however to face San Diego State. This creates major problems against a stout San Diego State leading, averaging 4.5 sacks per game.
On the opposing side of the ball, San Diego runs on the ball at one of the highest rates at the NFL (41.25%). This creates an immediate mismatch for the Utah State defense which has allowed 178 rushing yards per game to start the year (No. 83). Stony Brook put up over 100 rushing yards in Week 2 against Utah State.
As 3.5-point underdogs this week, San Diego State gives a good value as an underdog with this slate. Given that the odds, and a bet on the money remains at +145 in play.
Greatest Pick: San Diego State ML (+145) with 5Dimes
Saturday September 21st, 3:30 PM at Doak Campbell Stadium (Tallahassee, Tennessee)
Pick: Louisville Cardinals +8
Following a defeat to Notre Dame in Week 1, Louisville enters Week 4 winners of the last two. In 1-2 ahead of Saturday’s matchup against the Cardinals, Florida State stands on the opposing side. At this time, Florida State stands favorites within Louisville.
Following a 2018, Louisville seems to have turned a corner as a program, the year 2-1 starting. Louisville also matches against a Florida State defense. In particular, Louisville must look to harness their run game after averaging 234 rushing yards the year to start. Conversely, Florida State has allowed 170.7 rush yards per game, making an avenue for Louisville’s success. Notably, Florida State has allowed at least 31 points in three games so far this season and averages 314 passing yards allowed inside their policy.
On the opposite side, the defense of Louisville has performed better, but only allowed 21 points to Western Kentucky. Through 3 games, Florida State averages 281 passing yards a game, but they also gave up an average of 3 sacks per game this season. A weak offensive line produces a small edge in the favor of Louisville, while Louisville brings their own defensive battles.
Entering the week as underdogs, Louisville seems just like a risk worth considering Week 4.
Best Pick: Louisville Cardinals +8

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